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BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
Army Geniusesloss 0:2
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Geek Famwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Army Geniuses

Tiny
Tiny
inYourdreaM · 23 games
57%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
woMy · 14 games
36%
Mars
Marssignature
woMy · 12 games
75%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
db- · 12 games
58%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Varizh · 11 games
64%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
NARMAN · 10 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Varizh · 10 games
60%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Yowe · 9 games
67%

Geek Fam

Mars
Marssignature
eleven · 16 games
63%
Rubick
Rubick
Hishge · 14 games
57%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mageoften banned
ace12 · 13 games
54%
Tiny
Tiny
Sancity · 13 games
54%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
423 · 12 games
42%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
ace12 · 11 games
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Hishge · 8 games
38%
Visage
Visageoften banned
eleven · 8 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
348 picks · 238 bans
48%
Marci
Marci
344 picks · 568 bans
55%
Undying
Undying
289 picks · 505 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
262 picks · 169 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
255 picks · 408 bans
53%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
247 picks · 502 bans
55%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
215 picks · 285 bans
52%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
203 picks · 93 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 57%
Hero pool strength52% Army Geniuses
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total55% Geek Fam
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Army Geniuses 45%Geek Fam 55%
The model gave 55% on Geek Fam — the game was taken by Geek Fam.
Game 2prediction correct
Army Geniuses 45%Geek Fam 55%
The model gave 55% on Geek Fam — the game was taken by Geek Fam.
Model check result
Model favoriteGeek Fam · 55%
Series resultGeek Fam 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2