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BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
Unity Gamingloss 1:2
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Execrationwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Unity Gaming

Disruptor
Disruptor
Lwwnb · 5 games
60%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Night · 5 games
60%
Tusk
Tusk
Night · 5 games
80%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Night · 4 games
50%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
mks- · 2 games
50%
Legion Commander
Legion Commanderoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 2 games
50%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Night · 2 games
0%
Lich
Lich
Lwwnb · 2 games
50%

Execration

Mirana
Miranasignature
Shanks · 13 games
62%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Palos · 12 games
50%
Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
Shanks · 11 games
64%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Bob · 10 games
40%
Pudge
Pudgesignature
Palos · 10 games
60%
Visage
Visagesignature
Tino- · 10 games
70%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Tino- · 9 games
33%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Tino- · 9 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
Marci
355 picks · 577 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
341 picks · 239 bans
48%
Undying
Undying
292 picks · 520 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
261 picks · 166 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
253 picks · 406 bans
54%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
250 picks · 493 bans
55%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
218 picks · 287 bans
52%
Enigma
Enigma
205 picks · 687 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 38%
Hero pool strength51% Execration
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total59% Execration
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Unity Gaming 41%Execration 59%
The model gave 59% on Execration — the game was taken by Execration.
Game 2prediction missed
Unity Gaming 41%Execration 59%
The model gave 59% on Execration — the game was taken by Unity Gaming.
Game 3prediction correct
Unity Gaming 41%Execration 59%
The model gave 59% on Execration — the game was taken by Execration.
Model check result
Model favoriteExecration · 59%
Series resultExecration 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3