BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
Army Geniuseswin 2:0series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Fnaticloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Army Geniuses
Tinysignature
inYourdreaM · 25 games
Pangolieroften banned
woMy · 14 games
Marssignature
woMy · 12 games
Morphlingoften banned
db- · 12 games
Miranasignature
Varizh · 11 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
NARMAN · 10 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Varizh · 10 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Yowe · 9 games
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
360 picks · 579 bans
Tiny
338 picks · 234 bans
Undying
292 picks · 525 bans
Tusk
258 picks · 159 bans
Pangolier
251 picks · 399 bans
Primal Beast
246 picks · 488 bans
Shadow Fiend
218 picks · 290 bans
Enigma
204 picks · 691 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 42%
Hero pool strength54% Army Geniuses
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total73% Fnatic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed53:22
Army Geniuses 27%Fnatic 73%
The model gave 73% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 37:51.
Game 2prediction missed32:31
Army Geniuses 27%Fnatic 73%
The model gave 73% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 41:33.
Model check result
Model favoriteFnatic · 73%
Series resultArmy Geniuses 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2