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Лига Ставок Dota 2 Champions League Season 17 · BO3
result vs prediction
Hydrawin 2:0
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
cybercatsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Hydra

Zeus
Zeusoften banned
Askold · 11 games
45%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernoften banned
kickeed · 10 games
40%
Tusk
Tusk
Lefitan · 9 games
56%
Warlock
Warlocksignature
kickeed · 8 games
63%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Cloud · 7 games
43%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
HappyDyurara · 6 games
67%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Askold · 6 games
33%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Worick · 5 games
40%

cybercats

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fezor · 35 games
54%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Hduo · 23 games
61%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Hduo · 20 games
45%
Dazzle
Dazzlesignature
Hduo · 19 games
68%
Visage
Visagesignature
DkFogas · 19 games
68%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 17 games
53%
Doom
Doomsignature
Fezor · 14 games
64%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
DkFogas · 13 games
69%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
Marci
364 picks · 584 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
336 picks · 235 bans
49%
Undying
Undying
297 picks · 527 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
256 picks · 159 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
251 picks · 398 bans
55%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
248 picks · 490 bans
55%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
218 picks · 289 bans
51%
Enigma
Enigma
203 picks · 698 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 45%
Hero pool strength55% cybercats
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total52% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:22
Hydra 52%cybercats 48%
The model gave 52% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra in 29:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidDinozavrik
55% · 136 games51% · 31 game
SniperAlberkaaa
Sniper
Razor
RazorCloud
50% · 188 games48% · 93 games
ZeusChira JUNIOR
Zeus
Invoker
InvokerWorick
46% · 113 games57% · 87 games
Enigmazenica
Enigma
Tusk
TuskLefitan
45% · 211 games51% · 93 games
Treant ProtectorRein
Treant Protector
Riki
RikiHappyDyurara
43% · 14 games50% · 358 games
Tinyforcemajor
Tiny
Game 2prediction correct43:22
Hydra 53%cybercats 47%
The model gave 53% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra in 38:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaDinozavrik
49% · 146 games56% · 179 games
MedusaAlberkaaa
Medusa
Tusk
TuskWorick
48% · 237 games55% · 104 games
Lycanzenica
Lycan
Mars
MarsCloud
45% · 378 games50% · 477 games
TinyChira JUNIOR
Tiny
Mirana
MiranaLefitan
49% · 242 games45% · 180 games
Rubickforcemajor
Rubick
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenHappyDyurara
51% · 124 games52% · 187 games
ClockwerkRein
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 52%
Series resultHydra 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2