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Лига Ставок Dota 2 Champions League Season 17 · BO3
result vs prediction
CYBER UNIONloss 1:2
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Water Rune Enjoyerswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

CYBER UNION

Silencer
Silencer
Arti_Shock · 11 games
27%
Tiny
Tiny
Miyaoo · 11 games
27%
Tusk
Tusk
Miyaoo · 8 games
25%
Lich
Lich
Arti_Shock · 5 games
20%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
OneJey · 4 games
75%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
klassnokruto · 4 games
50%
Pudge
Pudgeoften banned
dizzying · 4 games
75%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
OneJey · 4 games
50%

Water Rune Enjoyers

Tiny
Tiny
Nukkumatti · 24 games
46%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Mary_y · 18 games
39%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Nukkumatti · 17 games
41%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Palantimos · 17 games
47%
Lina
Linasignature
Stojkov · 16 games
69%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Palantimos · 15 games
53%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
Stojkov · 15 games
60%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
BliNcc · 14 games
21%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
Marci
366 picks · 585 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
336 picks · 235 bans
48%
Undying
Undying
300 picks · 527 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
254 picks · 158 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
251 picks · 395 bans
55%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
245 picks · 494 bans
54%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
218 picks · 288 bans
51%
Enigma
Enigma
202 picks · 703 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 25%
Hero pool strength55% Water Rune Enjoyers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% CYBER UNION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct47:19
CYBER UNION 58%Water Rune Enjoyers 42%
The model gave 58% on CYBER UNION — the game was taken by CYBER UNION in 52:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Death Prophet
Death ProphetMiyaoo
50% · 257 games49% · 231 game
TerrorbladePalantimos
Terrorblade
Primal Beast
Primal Beastklassnokruto
44% · 41 game47% · 212 games
LinahAze
Lina
Slark
Slarkdizzying
61% · 24 games38% · 22 games
Elder Titany0nd
Elder Titan
Tiny
TinyOneJey
51% · 257 games55% · 138 games
Shadow Demonb1kA
Shadow Demon
Mirana
MiranaArti_Shock
51% · 122 games52% · 98 games
Treant ProtectorMary_y
Treant Protector
Game 2prediction missed30:45
CYBER UNION 58%Water Rune Enjoyers 42%
The model gave 58% on CYBER UNION — the game was taken by Water Rune Enjoyers in 43:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
Lifestealerdizzying
56% · 58 games46% · 72 games
Naga SirenPalantimos
Naga Siren
Zeus
ZeusMiyaoo
47% · 97 games50% · 121 game
BatriderhAze
Batrider
Dark Seer
Dark Seerklassnokruto
50% · 23 games54% · 109 games
Enigmab1kA
Enigma
Tusk
TuskOneJey
52% · 126 games44% · 86 games
Primal Beasty0nd
Primal Beast
Undying
UndyingArti_Shock
45% · 167 games55% · 83 games
DisruptorMary_y
Disruptor
Game 3prediction missed27:39
CYBER UNION 57%Water Rune Enjoyers 43%
The model gave 57% on CYBER UNION — the game was taken by Water Rune Enjoyers in 49:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lycan
Lycanklassnokruto
54% · 55 games43% · 73 games
TimbersawhAze
Timbersaw
Slark
Slarkdizzying
53% · 33 games53% · 36 games
LifestealerPalantimos
Lifestealer
Pudge
PudgeMiyaoo
42% · 64 games58% · 74 games
Primal Beastb1kA
Primal Beast
Tusk
TuskOneJey
51% · 118 games50% · 71 game
Crystal MaidenMary_y
Crystal Maiden
Lich
LichArti_Shock
46% · 36 games50% · 52 games
Treant Protectory0nd
Treant Protector
Model check result
Model favoriteCYBER UNION · 65%
Series resultWater Rune Enjoyers 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3