Лига Ставок Dota 2 Champions League Season 17 · BO3
result vs prediction
CYBER UNIONloss 0:2series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:2
cybercatswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
CYBER UNION
Silencer
Arti_Shock · 9 games
Tiny
Miyaoo · 9 games
Tusk
Miyaoo · 8 games
Lich
Arti_Shock · 4 games
Primal Beastoften banned
klassnokruto · 4 games
Pudgeoften banned
dizzying · 4 games
Undyingoften banned
OneJey · 4 games
Clockwerk
OneJey · 3 games
cybercats
Hoodwink
Fezor · 35 games
Clockwerk
Hduo · 22 games
Marcioften banned
Hduo · 20 games
Dazzlesignature
Hduo · 19 games
Visagesignature
DkFogas · 19 games
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 17 games
Doomsignature
Fezor · 14 games
Sand Kingsignature
DkFogas · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
366 picks · 585 bans
Tiny
333 picks · 233 bans
Undying
300 picks · 526 bans
Pangolier
249 picks · 391 bans
Tusk
248 picks · 158 bans
Primal Beast
246 picks · 493 bans
Shadow Fiend
216 picks · 287 bans
Enigma
201 picks · 704 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 45%
Hero pool strength59% cybercats
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:25
CYBER UNION 41%cybercats 59%
The model gave 59% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 33:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursadizzying
Shadow Fiendselfhate
Phoenixklassnokruto
TuskChira JUNIOR
TinyMiyaoo
Lycanzenica
SilencerOneJey
Skywrath Mageforcemajor
LichArti_Shock
ClockwerkHduo
Game 2prediction correct26:32
CYBER UNION 42%cybercats 58%
The model gave 58% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 41:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doomklassnokruto
Morphlingselfhate
Faceless Voiddizzying
PangolierChira JUNIOR
TinyMiyaoo
Magnuszenica
ClockwerkOneJey
Miranaforcemajor
SilencerArti_Shock
TuskHduo
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 64%
Series resultcybercats 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2