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Лига Ставок Dota 2 Champions League Season 17 · BO3
result vs prediction
cybercatsloss 0:2
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 0:2
HFwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

cybercats

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fezor · 35 games
54%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Hduo · 22 games
59%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Hduo · 20 games
45%
Visage
Visagesignature
DkFogas · 19 games
68%
Dazzle
Dazzlesignature
Hduo · 18 games
72%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 17 games
53%
Doom
Doomsignature
Fezor · 14 games
64%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
DkFogas · 13 games
69%

HF

Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Limitless · 11 games
36%
Tiny
Tiny
hAze · 10 games
30%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Kaori · 9 games
33%
Phoenix
Phoenix
ArrOw · 7 games
57%
Puck
Puckoften banned
hAze · 7 games
43%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
SOhY · 6 games
50%
Mirana
Mirana
SOhY · 6 games
33%
Snapfire
Snapfire
ArrOw · 6 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
Marci
367 picks · 587 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
336 picks · 234 bans
48%
Undying
Undying
301 picks · 530 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
250 picks · 390 bans
54%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
249 picks · 491 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
247 picks · 157 bans
56%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
216 picks · 286 bans
51%
Enigma
Enigma
203 picks · 710 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 31%
Hero pool strength60% cybercats
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total64% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:26
cybercats 58%HF 42%
The model gave 58% on cybercats — the game was taken by HF in 32:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Broodmother
BroodmotherDkFogas
49% · 51 game60% · 62 games
LycanActor
Lycan
Riki
RikiAlberkaaa
51% · 12 games58% · 40 games
Slarkxannii
Slark
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritChira JUNIOR
39% · 255 games52% · 338 games
Tinytoshiyb
Tiny
Mirana
Miranaforcemajor
49% · 180 games53% · 65 games
Treant ProtectorSOhY
Treant Protector
Dazzle
DazzleHduo
46% · 106 games52% · 99 games
Skywrath Mageweebian
Skywrath Mage
Game 2prediction missed24:35
cybercats 57%HF 43%
The model gave 57% on cybercats — the game was taken by HF in 40:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Wraith King
Wraith KingAlberkaaa
47% · 92 games55% · 152 games
Terrorbladexannii
Terrorblade
Lycan
LycanDkFogas
58% · 51 game53% · 156 games
Doomtoshiyb
Doom
Invoker
InvokerChira JUNIOR
43% · 104 games50% · 82 games
Spirit BreakerActor
Spirit Breaker
Tiny
Tinyforcemajor
49% · 264 games47% · 37 games
Techiesweebian
Techies
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenHduo
45% · 62 games52% · 146 games
UndyingSOhY
Undying
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 64%
Series resultHF 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2