Лига Ставок Dota 2 Champions League Season 17 · BO3
result vs prediction
YNTwin 2:1series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Water Rune Enjoyersloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
YNT
No games played over 6 months.
Water Rune Enjoyers
Tiny
Nukkumatti · 22 games
Marcioften banned
Nukkumatti · 17 games
Linasignature
Stojkov · 15 games
Razoroften banned
Palantimos · 15 games
Winter Wyvernsignature
Stojkov · 15 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
BliNcc · 14 games
Weaveroften banned
Palantimos · 14 games
Phoenix
b1kA · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
368 picks · 592 bans
Tiny
330 picks · 235 bans
Undying
304 picks · 537 bans
Primal Beast
251 picks · 488 bans
Pangolier
249 picks · 389 bans
Tusk
243 picks · 155 bans
Shadow Fiend
216 picks · 286 bans
Enigma
206 picks · 718 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 29%
Hero pool strength50% YNT
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% YNT
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:30
YNT 78%Water Rune Enjoyers 22%
The model gave 78% on YNT — the game was taken by Water Rune Enjoyers in 51:51.
Game 2prediction missed38:25
YNT 78%Water Rune Enjoyers 22%
The model gave 78% on YNT — the game was taken by Water Rune Enjoyers in 34:00.
Game 3prediction missed6:26
YNT 78%Water Rune Enjoyers 22%
The model gave 78% on YNT — the game was taken by Water Rune Enjoyers in 21:05.
Model check result
Model favoriteYNT · 78%
Series resultYNT 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3