Лига Ставок Dota 2 Champions League Season 17 · BO3
result vs prediction
cybercatsloss 0:2series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:2
YNTwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
cybercats
Hoodwink
Fezor · 35 games
Clockwerk
Hduo · 22 games
Marcioften banned
Hduo · 20 games
Visagesignature
DkFogas · 19 games
Dazzlesignature
Hduo · 17 games
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 17 games
Doomsignature
Fezor · 14 games
Sand Kingsignature
DkFogas · 13 games
YNT
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
372 picks · 593 bans
Tiny
327 picks · 227 bans
Undying
304 picks · 544 bans
Primal Beast
253 picks · 485 bans
Pangolier
248 picks · 382 bans
Tusk
243 picks · 149 bans
Shadow Fiend
215 picks · 280 bans
Enigma
209 picks · 715 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 54%
Hero pool strength55% cybercats
Head-to-head4 – 2
Model total56% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:43
cybercats 56%YNT 44%
The model gave 56% on cybercats — the game was taken by YNT in 49:54.
Game 2prediction missed17:38
cybercats 56%YNT 44%
The model gave 56% on cybercats — the game was taken by YNT in 39:24.
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 56%
Series resultYNT 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2