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Лига Ставок Dota 2 Champions League Season 17 · BO3
result vs prediction
CYBER UNIONloss 1:2
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:2
IVYwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

CYBER UNION

Silencer
Silencer
Arti_Shock · 9 games
33%
Tusk
Tusk
Miyaoo · 8 games
25%
Tiny
Tiny
Miyaoo · 7 games
29%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
OneJey · 3 games
100%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
klassnokruto · 3 games
0%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
dizzying · 3 games
0%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Arti_Shock · 3 games
0%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
klassnokruto · 3 games
33%

IVY

Tiny
Tiny
Mo13ei · 32 games
56%
Mirana
Mirana
Qupe · 22 games
50%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Max · 18 games
61%
Chen
Chenoften banned
jmn- · 15 games
47%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Qupe · 15 games
53%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Max · 14 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Qupe · 13 games
69%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Mo13ei · 12 games
42%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
Marci
372 picks · 593 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
326 picks · 225 bans
49%
Undying
Undying
304 picks · 542 bans
53%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
252 picks · 484 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
247 picks · 380 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
241 picks · 147 bans
56%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
214 picks · 279 bans
51%
Enigma
Enigma
209 picks · 715 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 30%
Hero pool strength58% IVY
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% CYBER UNION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed61:16
CYBER UNION 47%IVY 53%
The model gave 53% on IVY — the game was taken by CYBER UNION in 37:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Death Prophet
Death ProphetMiyaoo
42% · 226 games56% · 73 games
NecrophosMo13ei
Necrophos
Pudge
Pudgedizzying
57% · 79 games53% · 213 games
Miranapio65
Mirana
Primal Beast
Primal Beastklassnokruto
56% · 52 games53% · 204 games
BeastmasterOwnedMe
Beastmaster
Tiny
TinyOneJey
52% · 416 games48% · 137 games
Doomjmn-
Doom
Lich
LichArti_Shock
38% · 38 games43% · 184 games
RubickQupe
Rubick
Game 2prediction missed15:58
CYBER UNION 50%IVY 50%
The model gave 50% on CYBER UNION — the game was taken by IVY in 44:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga Sirendizzying
64% · 53 games50% · 83 games
Weaverpio65
Weaver
Lina
LinaMiyaoo
45% · 204 games50% · 65 games
BatriderMo13ei
Batrider
Tidehunter
Tidehunterklassnokruto
46% · 161 game48% · 28 games
Dark SeerOwnedMe
Dark Seer
Riki
RikiOneJey
53% · 18 games50% · 188 games
TinyQupe
Tiny
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenArti_Shock
48% · 97 games53% · 169 games
Banejmn-
Bane
Game 3prediction correct13:38
CYBER UNION 48%IVY 52%
The model gave 52% on IVY — the game was taken by IVY in 28:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangerdizzying
43% · 50 games48% · 92 games
Lunapio65
Luna
Pangolier
Pangolierklassnokruto
52% · 211 games57% · 80 games
LycanOwnedMe
Lycan
Tiny
TinyMiyaoo
48% · 414 games53% · 248 games
TuskMo13ei
Tusk
Undying
UndyingOneJey
50% · 136 games59% · 214 games
MiranaQupe
Mirana
Lich
LichArti_Shock
39% · 50 games47% · 227 games
Clockwerkjmn-
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteCYBER UNION · 51%
Series resultIVY 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3