IESF World Esports Championship 2022 · BO1
result vs prediction
Новая Зеландияwin 1:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Непалloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Новая Зеландия
No games played over 6 months.
Непал
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
374 picks · 597 bans
Tiny
326 picks · 214 bans
Undying
306 picks · 545 bans
Primal Beast
251 picks · 479 bans
Pangolier
245 picks · 373 bans
Tusk
234 picks · 141 bans
Shadow Fiend
215 picks · 275 bans
Enigma
210 picks · 722 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 43%
Hero pool strength50% Новая Зеландия
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Непал
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Новая Зеландия 48%Непал 52%
The model gave 52% on Непал — the game was taken by Новая Зеландия.
Model check result
Model favoriteНепал · 52%
Series resultНовая Зеландия 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1