IESF World Esports Championship 2022 · BO1
result vs prediction
Узбекистанloss 0:1series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Лаосwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Узбекистан
No games played over 6 months.
Лаос
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
373 picks · 599 bans
Tiny
327 picks · 215 bans
Undying
312 picks · 550 bans
Primal Beast
252 picks · 482 bans
Pangolier
244 picks · 375 bans
Tusk
232 picks · 139 bans
Shadow Fiend
216 picks · 273 bans
Enigma
210 picks · 731 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Узбекистан
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Узбекистан
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:39
Узбекистан 54%Лаос 46%
The model gave 54% on Узбекистан — the game was taken by Лаос in 37:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TinyjAMES
LifestealerJaCkky
54% · 191 game
MarciBeebie
53% · 64 games
LeshracNevermine
Model check result
Model favoriteУзбекистан · 63%
Series resultЛаос 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1