IESF World Esports Championship 2022 · BO1
result vs prediction
Узбекистанwin 1:0series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Гондурасloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Узбекистан
No games played over 6 months.
Гондурас
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
373 picks · 602 bans
Tiny
327 picks · 215 bans
Undying
314 picks · 551 bans
Primal Beast
253 picks · 484 bans
Pangolier
244 picks · 378 bans
Tusk
232 picks · 139 bans
Shadow Fiend
216 picks · 273 bans
Enigma
211 picks · 733 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 33%
Hero pool strength50% Узбекистан
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% Узбекистан
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Узбекистан 75%Гондурас 25%
The model gave 75% on Узбекистан — the game was taken by Узбекистан.
Model check result
Model favoriteУзбекистан · 75%
Series resultУзбекистан 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1