IESF World Esports Championship 2022 · BO1
result vs prediction
Венесуэлаwin 1:0series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Коста-Рикаloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Венесуэла
No games played over 6 months.
Коста-Рика
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
373 picks · 601 bans
Tiny
326 picks · 214 bans
Undying
314 picks · 550 bans
Primal Beast
253 picks · 482 bans
Pangolier
242 picks · 377 bans
Tusk
232 picks · 137 bans
Shadow Fiend
216 picks · 272 bans
Enigma
211 picks · 731 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Венесуэла
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Коста-Рика
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Венесуэла 41%Коста-Рика 59%
The model gave 59% on Коста-Рика — the game was taken by Венесуэла.
Model check result
Model favoriteКоста-Рика · 59%
Series resultВенесуэла 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1