BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Fnaticloss 0:2series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Geek Famwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
Geek Fam
Marssignature
eleven · 15 games
Skywrath Mage
ace12 · 14 games
Broodmotheroften banned
423 · 13 games
Tiny
Sancity · 13 games
Rubick
Hishge · 12 games
Undyingoften banned
ace12 · 11 games
Visageoften banned
eleven · 9 games
Miranasignature
ace12 · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
375 picks · 600 bans
Tiny
325 picks · 214 bans
Undying
314 picks · 553 bans
Primal Beast
252 picks · 482 bans
Pangolier
242 picks · 373 bans
Tusk
228 picks · 137 bans
Shadow Fiend
216 picks · 271 bans
Enigma
211 picks · 733 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 55%
Hero pool strength52% Geek Fam
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% Fnatic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed38:35
Fnatic 79%Geek Fam 21%
The model gave 79% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Geek Fam in 40:24.
Game 2prediction missed25:32
Fnatic 79%Geek Fam 21%
The model gave 79% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Geek Fam in 42:00.
Model check result
Model favoriteFnatic · 79%
Series resultGeek Fam 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2