BTS Pro Series Season 13: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Hokoriloss 1:1series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Wildcard Gamingloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Wildcard Gaming
Snapfire
The Warden · 14 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
iAnnihilate · 12 games
Puckoften banned
iAnnihilate · 12 games
Tinysignature
The Warden · 12 games
Skywrath Magesignature
The Warden · 9 games
Zeusoften banned
iAnnihilate · 9 games
Batrideroften banned
iAnnihilate · 8 games
Void Spiritoften banned
iAnnihilate · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
376 picks · 601 bans
Tiny
322 picks · 213 bans
Undying
313 picks · 556 bans
Primal Beast
253 picks · 482 bans
Pangolier
242 picks · 370 bans
Tusk
225 picks · 135 bans
Shadow Fiend
215 picks · 270 bans
Enigma
212 picks · 732 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 32%
Hero pool strength51% Hokori
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total57% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:27
Hokori 57%Wildcard Gaming 43%
The model gave 57% on Hokori — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 43:30.
Game 2prediction missed23:39
Hokori 57%Wildcard Gaming 43%
The model gave 57% on Hokori — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 37:34.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 57%
Accuracy by game0 of 2