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BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Fnaticloss 1:1
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Army Geniusesloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Fnatic

No games played over 6 months.

Army Geniuses

Tiny
Tinysignature
inYourdreaM · 23 games
65%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
woMy · 13 games
38%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
db- · 12 games
58%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Varizh · 10 games
60%
Mars
Marssignature
woMy · 10 games
80%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
NARMAN · 9 games
56%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Varizh · 9 games
67%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
woMy · 8 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
Marci
376 picks · 602 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
322 picks · 205 bans
49%
Undying
Undying
312 picks · 559 bans
53%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
251 picks · 481 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
242 picks · 365 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
220 picks · 134 bans
54%
Enigma
Enigma
213 picks · 729 bans
59%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
213 picks · 270 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 43%
Hero pool strength55% Army Geniuses
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total51% Fnatic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed39:55
Fnatic 51%Army Geniuses 49%
The model gave 51% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 1:04:07.
Game 2prediction missed40:24
Fnatic 51%Army Geniuses 49%
The model gave 51% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 45:01.
Model check result
Model favoriteFnatic · 51%
Accuracy by game0 of 2