BTS Pro Series Season 13: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Hokoriloss 1:1series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team DogChamploss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Team DogChamp
Invokeroften banned
RCY · 11 games
Marcisignature
yarintheslayer · 11 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Bloody Nine · 9 games
Keeper of the Light
yarintheslayer · 8 games
Marsoften banned
lukiluki · 8 games
Tinkersignature
RCY · 8 games
Bane
Bloody Nine · 7 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
StoneBank · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
377 picks · 603 bans
Tiny
318 picks · 205 bans
Undying
312 picks · 559 bans
Primal Beast
251 picks · 478 bans
Pangolier
240 picks · 359 bans
Enigma
214 picks · 726 bans
Shadow Fiend
213 picks · 265 bans
Tusk
213 picks · 132 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 40%
Hero pool strength52% Team DogChamp
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total54% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:10
Hokori 54%Team DogChamp 46%
The model gave 54% on Hokori — the game was taken by Team DogChamp in 19:40.
Game 2prediction missed42:26
Hokori 54%Team DogChamp 46%
The model gave 54% on Hokori — the game was taken by Team DogChamp in 36:25.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 54%
Accuracy by game0 of 2