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Лига Ставок Dota 2 Champions League Season 17 · BO3
result vs prediction
cybercatswin 2:0
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
IVYloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

cybercats

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fezor · 35 games
54%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Hduo · 21 game
57%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Hduo · 20 games
45%
Visage
Visagesignature
DkFogas · 18 games
67%
Dazzle
Dazzlesignature
Hduo · 16 games
75%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 16 games
50%
Doom
Doomsignature
Fezor · 14 games
64%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
DkFogas · 13 games
69%

IVY

Tiny
Tiny
Mo13ei · 32 games
56%
Mirana
Mirana
Qupe · 20 games
55%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Max · 17 games
65%
Chen
Chenoften banned
jmn- · 15 games
47%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Qupe · 14 games
50%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Max · 14 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Qupe · 13 games
69%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Max · 11 games
45%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
Marci
377 picks · 601 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
316 picks · 203 bans
49%
Undying
Undying
311 picks · 559 bans
53%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
249 picks · 478 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
238 picks · 355 bans
55%
Enigma
Enigma
214 picks · 725 bans
59%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
211 picks · 263 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
211 picks · 128 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 29%
Hero pool strength51% cybercats
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total59% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:21
cybercats 58%IVY 42%
The model gave 58% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 34:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendAlberkaaa
45% · 57 games53% · 92 games
ZeusMo13ei
Zeus
Visage
VisageDkFogas
60% · 65 games47% · 92 games
Primal BeastOwnedMe
Primal Beast
Tusk
TuskChira JUNIOR
49% · 84 games51% · 53 games
Dark WillowQupe
Dark Willow
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorforcemajor
54% · 17 games41% · 69 games
Lichjmn-
Lich
Clockwerk
ClockwerkHduo
54% · 83 games
Game 2prediction correct30:11
cybercats 54%IVY 46%
The model gave 54% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 24:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerAlberkaaa
57% · 35 games51% · 189 games
TuskMo13ei
Tusk
Pangolier
PangolierChira JUNIOR
53% · 136 games49% · 90 games
TidehunterOwnedMe
Tidehunter
Lycan
LycanDkFogas
45% · 49 games47% · 107 games
PhoenixQupe
Phoenix
Tiny
Tinyforcemajor
57% · 224 games49% · 87 games
Silencerjmn-
Silencer
Lich
LichHduo
38% · 29 games
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 59%
Series resultcybercats 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2