Лига Ставок Dota 2 Champions League Season 17 · BO3
result vs prediction
CYBER UNIONloss 0:2series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:2
YNTwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
CYBER UNION
Tusk
OneJey · 5 games
Silencer
OneJey · 4 games
Tiny
OneJey · 4 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
klassnokruto · 3 games
Lifestealeroften banned
dizzying · 3 games
Marcioften banned
Arti_Shock · 3 games
Broodmotheroften banned
klassnokruto · 2 games
Disruptor
Arti_Shock · 2 games
YNT
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
379 picks · 601 bans
Tiny
315 picks · 205 bans
Undying
312 picks · 562 bans
Primal Beast
247 picks · 482 bans
Pangolier
239 picks · 354 bans
Enigma
216 picks · 728 bans
Shadow Fiend
211 picks · 261 bans
Tusk
211 picks · 126 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 46%
Hero pool strength63% YNT
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% YNT
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:29
CYBER UNION 35%YNT 65%
The model gave 65% on YNT — the game was taken by YNT in 36:46.
Game 2prediction correct40:39
CYBER UNION 35%YNT 65%
The model gave 65% on YNT — the game was taken by YNT in 1:07:07.
Model check result
Model favoriteYNT · 65%
Series resultYNT 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2