BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Execrationloss 1:1series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:1
SSPAWNloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Execration
Earthshakersignature
Shanks · 11 games
Mirana
Shanks · 11 games
Marcioften banned
Palos · 10 games
Pudgesignature
Palos · 10 games
Batrideroften banned
Bob · 9 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Tino- · 9 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
Shanks · 9 games
Visagesignature
Tino- · 9 games
SPAWN
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
377 picks · 601 bans
Tiny
315 picks · 204 bans
Undying
312 picks · 562 bans
Primal Beast
247 picks · 481 bans
Pangolier
238 picks · 353 bans
Enigma
216 picks · 726 bans
Shadow Fiend
211 picks · 260 bans
Tusk
211 picks · 124 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 45%
Hero pool strength56% Execration
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% SPAWN
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:39
Execration 48%SPAWN 52%
The model gave 52% on SPAWN — the game was taken by SPAWN in 49:07.
Game 2prediction missed40:12
Execration 48%SPAWN 52%
The model gave 52% on SPAWN — the game was taken by Execration in 27:37.
Model check result
Model favoriteSPAWN · 52%
Accuracy by game1 of 2