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BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Unity Gamingloss 1:1
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Purple Paradoxloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Unity Gaming

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Night · 4 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
Night · 4 games
75%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Lwwnb · 2 games
50%
Legion Commander
Legion Commanderoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 2 games
50%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Night · 2 games
0%
Lich
Lich
Lwwnb · 2 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
mks- · 2 games
100%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
CatYou · 2 games
0%

Purple Paradox

Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
seimei · 5 games
60%
Doom
Doomoften banned
seimei · 2 games
50%
Anti-Mage
Anti-Mageoften banned
seimei · 1 game
100%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunter
seimei · 1 game
100%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
seimei · 1 game
0%
Mars
Marsoften banned
seimei · 1 game
0%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
seimei · 1 game
0%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
seimei · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
Marci
377 picks · 601 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
314 picks · 204 bans
49%
Undying
Undying
312 picks · 562 bans
53%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
247 picks · 479 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
238 picks · 351 bans
55%
Enigma
Enigma
216 picks · 725 bans
59%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
211 picks · 260 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
211 picks · 122 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 38%
Hero pool strength51% Purple Paradox
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Purple Paradox
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed45:62
Unity Gaming 52%Purple Paradox 48%
The model gave 52% on Unity Gaming — the game was taken by Purple Paradox in 58:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaNight
56% · 48 games49% · 322 games
Marsseimei
Mars
Lifestealer
Lifestealermks-
54% · 59 games
Dark Seer
Dark Seerxiaoyu154
48% · 19 games
Tiny
TinyCatYou
49% · 148 games
Disruptor
DisruptorLwwnb
50% · 48 games
Game 2prediction missed53:30
Unity Gaming 47%Purple Paradox 53%
The model gave 53% on Purple Paradox — the game was taken by Unity Gaming in 41:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaNight
46% · 20 games51% · 90 games
Spirit Breakerseimei
Spirit Breaker
Sand King
Sand Kingxiaoyu154
53% · 13 games
Pudge
Pudgemks-
50% · 6 games
Lion
LionCatYou
48% · 21 game
Disruptor
DisruptorLwwnb
50% · 30 games
Model check result
Model favoritePurple Paradox · 51%
Accuracy by game0 of 2