BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Geek Famwin 2:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
XERXIAloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Geek Fam
Marssignature
eleven · 15 games
Skywrath Mage
ace12 · 14 games
Broodmotheroften banned
423 · 13 games
Tiny
Sancity · 13 games
Undyingoften banned
ace12 · 11 games
Rubick
Hishge · 10 games
Visageoften banned
eleven · 9 games
Miranasignature
ace12 · 8 games
XERXIA
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
377 picks · 601 bans
Tiny
314 picks · 204 bans
Undying
312 picks · 561 bans
Primal Beast
246 picks · 478 bans
Pangolier
238 picks · 350 bans
Enigma
216 picks · 725 bans
Shadow Fiend
211 picks · 260 bans
Tusk
209 picks · 122 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 36%
Hero pool strength52% Geek Fam
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Geek Fam
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct52:19
Geek Fam 64%XERXIA 36%
The model gave 64% on Geek Fam — the game was taken by Geek Fam in 39:41.
Game 2prediction correct40:21
Geek Fam 64%XERXIA 36%
The model gave 64% on Geek Fam — the game was taken by Geek Fam in 38:00.
Model check result
Model favoriteGeek Fam · 64%
Series resultGeek Fam 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2