BTS Pro Series Season 13: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Infamouswin 2:0series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team DogChamploss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Oscar · 9 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Mariano · 8 games
Bane
Prada · 5 games
Hoodwink
Genek · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Mariano · 5 games
Crystal Maiden
Mjz · 4 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
PiPi · 4 games
Ogre Magi
Mjz · 4 games
Team DogChamp
Marcisignature
yarintheslayer · 11 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Bloody Nine · 9 games
Invokeroften banned
RCY · 9 games
Marsoften banned
lukiluki · 8 games
Bane
Bloody Nine · 7 games
Keeper of the Light
yarintheslayer · 7 games
Tinkersignature
RCY · 7 games
Zeusoften banned
yarintheslayer · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
377 picks · 601 bans
Tiny
314 picks · 202 bans
Undying
312 picks · 559 bans
Primal Beast
246 picks · 478 bans
Pangolier
238 picks · 348 bans
Enigma
216 picks · 725 bans
Shadow Fiend
210 picks · 260 bans
Tusk
209 picks · 121 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 43%
Hero pool strength57% Team DogChamp
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total57% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:14
Infamous 54%Team DogChamp 46%
The model gave 54% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 25:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SvenMnz
InvokerRCY
DawnbreakerOscar
BroodmotherSkyward
Windrangersl4d1n-
BloodseekerDouble King
DisruptorMjz
DoomBloody Nine
29% · 3 games
Rikiyarintheslayer
Game 2prediction correct37:14
Infamous 55%Team DogChamp 45%
The model gave 55% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 24:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendMnz
BristlebackSkyward
DawnbreakerOscar
Wraith KingDouble King
Windrangersl4d1n-
PuckRCY
BaneMjz
Keeper of the Lightyarintheslayer
60% · 44 games
PudgeBloody Nine
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 57%
Series resultInfamous 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2