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BTS Pro Series Season 13: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Infamousloss 1:1
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Cringe Crewloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infamous

Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Oscar · 9 games
22%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Mariano · 8 games
50%
Bane
Bane
Prada · 5 games
40%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Genek · 5 games
60%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Mariano · 5 games
40%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Mjz · 4 games
0%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
PiPi · 4 games
25%
Rubick
Rubick
Genek · 4 games
50%

Cringe Crew

Pudge
Pudgeoften banned
Ark · 5 games
60%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
The Warden · 4 games
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
The Warden · 3 games
0%
Mirana
Mirana
Sunlight · 3 games
67%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Sunlight · 3 games
33%
Tusk
Tusk
FrancisLee · 3 games
67%
Disruptor
Disruptor
The Warden · 2 games
50%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
Sunlight · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
Marci
377 picks · 601 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
313 picks · 202 bans
49%
Undying
Undying
312 picks · 557 bans
53%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
246 picks · 478 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
238 picks · 346 bans
55%
Enigma
Enigma
216 picks · 725 bans
59%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
210 picks · 259 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
209 picks · 121 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)37% vs 33%
Hero pool strength57% Cringe Crew
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total52% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct49:29
Infamous 51%Cringe Crew 49%
The model gave 51% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 40:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeMnz
50% · 196 games49% · 171 game
Ember Spiritred2
Ember Spirit
Doom
DoomOscar
50% · 141 game51% · 107 games
MedusaArk
Medusa
Windranger
Windrangersl4d1n-
47% · 50 games48% · 32 games
Centaur WarrunnerSunlight
Centaur Warrunner
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiMjz
49% · 101 game57% · 100 games
MiranaThe Warden
Mirana
49% · 78 games
DisruptorFrancisLee
Disruptor
Game 2prediction missed27:51
Infamous 51%Cringe Crew 49%
The model gave 51% on Infamous — the game was taken by Cringe Crew in 50:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerMnz
39% · 48 games45% · 49 games
LeshracSunlight
Leshrac
Doom
DoomOscar
51% · 114 games57% · 82 games
Kunkkared2
Kunkka
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansl4d1n-
54% · 112 games43% · 43 games
UrsaArk
Ursa
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorMjz
53% · 95 games59% · 13 games
SilencerFrancisLee
Silencer
51% · 182 games
TinyThe Warden
Tiny
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 52%
Accuracy by game1 of 2