BTS Pro Series Season 13: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Thunder Awakenwin 2:0series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
CCCringe Crewloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Thunder Awaken
Snapfire
Matthew · 23 games
Tinysignature
DarkMago · 20 games
Marssignature
DarkMago · 18 games
Ogre Magi
Panda · 17 games
Dawnbreakersignature
Sacred · 15 games
Crystal Maiden
Panda · 14 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Pakazs · 14 games
Pangolieroften banned
Sacred · 12 games
Cringe Crew
Pudgeoften banned
Ark · 4 games
Mirana
Sunlight · 3 games
Tusk
FrancisLee · 3 games
Undyingoften banned
The Warden · 3 games
Crystal Maiden
The Warden · 2 games
Disruptor
The Warden · 2 games
Enigmaoften banned
Sunlight · 2 games
Leshracoften banned
Sunlight · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
377 picks · 598 bans
Undying
318 picks · 559 bans
Tiny
307 picks · 202 bans
Primal Beast
246 picks · 474 bans
Pangolier
240 picks · 337 bans
Enigma
221 picks · 720 bans
Shadow Fiend
208 picks · 252 bans
Tusk
207 picks · 112 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)32% vs 44%
Hero pool strength52% Thunder Awaken
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% Thunder Awaken
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Thunder Awaken 79%Cringe Crew 21%
The model gave 79% on Thunder Awaken — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken.
Game 2prediction correct
Thunder Awaken 79%Cringe Crew 21%
The model gave 79% on Thunder Awaken — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken.
Model check result
Model favoriteThunder Awaken · 79%
Series resultThunder Awaken 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2