BTS Pro Series Season 13: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Hokoriloss 0:2series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 0:2
5RATFORCESTAFFwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
5RATFORCESTAFF
Jakiro
albinozebra · 25 games
Faceless Voidsignature
dnm · 12 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Speeed · 11 games
Tiny
Giant · 9 games
Clockwerk
albinozebra · 7 games
Crystal Maiden
albinozebra · 7 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
dnm · 6 games
Naga Sirensignature
dnm · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
377 picks · 598 bans
Undying
318 picks · 559 bans
Tiny
307 picks · 202 bans
Primal Beast
246 picks · 474 bans
Pangolier
240 picks · 337 bans
Enigma
221 picks · 720 bans
Shadow Fiend
208 picks · 252 bans
Tusk
207 picks · 112 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 48%
Hero pool strength51% 5RATFORCESTAFF
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Hokori 68%5RATFORCESTAFF 32%
The model gave 68% on Hokori — the game was taken by 5RATFORCESTAFF.
Game 2prediction missed
Hokori 68%5RATFORCESTAFF 32%
The model gave 68% on Hokori — the game was taken by 5RATFORCESTAFF.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 68%
Series result5RATFORCESTAFF 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2