BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO2
result vs predictionSSPAWNloss 0:2
series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Geek Famwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
SPAWN
No games played over 6 months.
Geek Fam
Marssignature
eleven · 15 games
Skywrath Mage
ace12 · 14 games
Broodmotheroften banned
423 · 13 games
Tiny
Sancity · 13 games
Rubick
Hishge · 10 games
Undyingoften banned
ace12 · 10 games
Visageoften banned
eleven · 9 games
Snapfire
Hishge · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
376 picks · 597 bans
Undying
317 picks · 559 bans
Tiny
307 picks · 200 bans
Primal Beast
246 picks · 474 bans
Pangolier
240 picks · 336 bans
Enigma
220 picks · 719 bans
Shadow Fiend
208 picks · 251 bans
Tusk
207 picks · 110 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 43%
Hero pool strength51% Geek Fam
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Geek Fam
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:32
SPAWN 37%Geek Fam 63%
The model gave 63% on Geek Fam — the game was taken by Geek Fam in 42:33.
Game 2prediction correct50:28
SPAWN 37%Geek Fam 63%
The model gave 63% on Geek Fam — the game was taken by Geek Fam in 47:30.
Model check result
Model favoriteGeek Fam · 63%
Series resultGeek Fam 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2