BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Unity Gamingloss 1:1series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Lilgunloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Unity Gaming
Pangolieroften banned
Night · 4 games
Tusk
CatYou · 2 games
Clockwerk
Lwwnb · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
Night · 1 game
Legion Commanderoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 1 game
Lich
Lwwnb · 1 game
Linaoften banned
mks- · 1 game
Lion
CatYou · 1 game
Lilgun
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
374 picks · 595 bans
Undying
318 picks · 560 bans
Tiny
307 picks · 201 bans
Primal Beast
245 picks · 472 bans
Pangolier
240 picks · 335 bans
Enigma
221 picks · 720 bans
Shadow Fiend
207 picks · 251 bans
Death Prophet
206 picks · 301 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 19%
Hero pool strength51% Unity Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Unity Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:30
Unity Gaming 66%Lilgun 34%
The model gave 66% on Unity Gaming — the game was taken by Lilgun in 29:03.
Game 2prediction correct34:12
Unity Gaming 66%Lilgun 34%
The model gave 66% on Unity Gaming — the game was taken by Unity Gaming in 28:05.
Model check result
Model favoriteUnity Gaming · 66%
Accuracy by game1 of 2