BTS Pro Series Season 13: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Hokoriloss 0:2series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Thunder Awakenwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Thunder Awaken
Snapfire
Matthew · 23 games
Tinysignature
DarkMago · 20 games
Marssignature
DarkMago · 18 games
Ogre Magi
Panda · 17 games
Dawnbreakersignature
Sacred · 15 games
Crystal Maiden
Panda · 13 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Pakazs · 13 games
Dazzle
Panda · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
373 picks · 594 bans
Undying
318 picks · 564 bans
Tiny
310 picks · 200 bans
Primal Beast
244 picks · 472 bans
Pangolier
239 picks · 336 bans
Enigma
223 picks · 720 bans
Shadow Fiend
207 picks · 250 bans
Tusk
206 picks · 108 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 28%
Hero pool strength54% Thunder Awaken
Head-to-head1 – 5
Model total56% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:40
Hokori 56%Thunder Awaken 44%
The model gave 56% on Hokori — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken in 44:09.
Game 2prediction missed39:14
Hokori 56%Thunder Awaken 44%
The model gave 56% on Hokori — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken in 40:51.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 56%
Series resultThunder Awaken 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2