BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
XERXIAloss 0:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Army Geniuseswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
XERXIA
No games played over 6 months.
Army Geniuses
Tinysignature
inYourdreaM · 20 games
Pangolieroften banned
woMy · 15 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Varizh · 10 games
Morphlingoften banned
db- · 10 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
NARMAN · 9 games
Broodmotheroften banned
woMy · 8 games
Marssignature
woMy · 8 games
Miranasignature
Varizh · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
372 picks · 590 bans
Undying
321 picks · 566 bans
Tiny
308 picks · 201 bans
Primal Beast
242 picks · 472 bans
Pangolier
238 picks · 335 bans
Enigma
224 picks · 721 bans
Shadow Fiend
207 picks · 250 bans
Death Prophet
206 picks · 302 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 35%
Hero pool strength52% Army Geniuses
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total57% Army Geniuses
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:53
XERXIA 43%Army Geniuses 57%
The model gave 57% on Army Geniuses — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 54:16.
Game 2prediction correct13:38
XERXIA 43%Army Geniuses 57%
The model gave 57% on Army Geniuses — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 29:32.
Model check result
Model favoriteArmy Geniuses · 57%
Series resultArmy Geniuses 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2