Открытые киберспортивные игры 2022 · BO3
result vs predictionTDTeam Dom1n0loss 1:2
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:2
MMatreshkawin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Dom1n0
No games played over 6 months.
Matreshka
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
372 picks · 590 bans
Undying
323 picks · 566 bans
Tiny
309 picks · 203 bans
Primal Beast
242 picks · 472 bans
Pangolier
239 picks · 335 bans
Enigma
225 picks · 723 bans
Shadow Fiend
207 picks · 250 bans
Death Prophet
206 picks · 303 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Team Dom1n0
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Team Dom1n0
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Dom1n0 53%Matreshka 47%
The model gave 53% on Team Dom1n0 — the game was taken by Team Dom1n0.
Game 2prediction missed
Team Dom1n0 53%Matreshka 47%
The model gave 53% on Team Dom1n0 — the game was taken by Matreshka.
Game 3prediction missed
Team Dom1n0 53%Matreshka 47%
The model gave 53% on Team Dom1n0 — the game was taken by Matreshka.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Dom1n0 · 53%
Series resultMatreshka 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3