Открытые киберспортивные игры 2022 · BO3
result vs prediction
No Sorryloss 0:2series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Cclublifewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
No Sorry
Banesignature
BLACKARXANGEL · 26 games
Tinysignature
Worick · 23 games
Enchantressoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 19 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
LastHero- · 18 games
Skywrath Magesignature
y0nd · 18 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Worick · 18 games
Hoodwinksignature
y0nd · 15 games
Medusasignature
Kami · 15 games
clublife
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
372 picks · 590 bans
Undying
324 picks · 569 bans
Tiny
310 picks · 203 bans
Primal Beast
242 picks · 472 bans
Pangolier
238 picks · 336 bans
Enigma
224 picks · 726 bans
Shadow Fiend
207 picks · 249 bans
Death Prophet
206 picks · 303 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% No Sorry
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% No Sorry
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
No Sorry 62%clublife 38%
The model gave 62% on No Sorry — the game was taken by clublife.
Game 2prediction missed
No Sorry 62%clublife 38%
The model gave 62% on No Sorry — the game was taken by clublife.
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Sorry · 62%
Series resultclublife 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2