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BTS Pro Series Season 13: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Thunder Awakenloss 1:1
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Wildcard Gamingloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Thunder Awaken

Snapfire
Snapfire
Matthew · 22 games
59%
Tiny
Tinysignature
DarkMago · 19 games
79%
Mars
Marssignature
DarkMago · 18 games
61%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Panda · 17 games
53%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakersignature
Sacred · 14 games
71%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Pakazs · 13 games
46%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Panda · 12 games
58%
Dazzle
Dazzle
Panda · 11 games
45%

Wildcard Gaming

Snapfire
Snapfire
The Warden · 19 games
26%
Tiny
Tinysignature
The Warden · 14 games
64%
Puck
Puckoften banned
iAnnihilate · 13 games
38%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
iAnnihilate · 12 games
42%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
iAnnihilate · 11 games
27%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Sunlight · 10 games
30%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
The Warden · 10 games
70%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
iAnnihilate · 8 games
38%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
Marci
371 picks · 586 bans
55%
Undying
Undying
324 picks · 570 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
311 picks · 204 bans
50%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
241 picks · 469 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
237 picks · 334 bans
55%
Enigma
Enigma
226 picks · 723 bans
58%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
207 picks · 248 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
206 picks · 302 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)28% vs 35%
Hero pool strength58% Thunder Awaken
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total51% Thunder Awaken
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:9
Thunder Awaken 51%Wildcard Gaming 49%
The model gave 51% on Thunder Awaken — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken in 26:46.
Game 2prediction missed20:31
Thunder Awaken 51%Wildcard Gaming 49%
The model gave 51% on Thunder Awaken — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 35:44.
Model check result
Model favoriteThunder Awaken · 51%
Accuracy by game1 of 2