BTS Pro Series Season 13: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Hokoriwin 2:0series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:0
CCCringe Crewloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Cringe Crew
Pudgeoften banned
Ark · 4 games
Mirana
Sunlight · 3 games
Undyingoften banned
The Warden · 3 games
Disruptor
The Warden · 2 games
Leshracoften banned
Sunlight · 2 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Sooths · 2 games
Sven
FrancisLee · 2 games
Tusk
FrancisLee · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
370 picks · 585 bans
Undying
324 picks · 568 bans
Tiny
311 picks · 203 bans
Primal Beast
240 picks · 468 bans
Pangolier
237 picks · 333 bans
Enigma
224 picks · 723 bans
Death Prophet
206 picks · 302 bans
Shadow Fiend
206 picks · 247 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% Cringe Crew
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed39:25
Hokori 78%Cringe Crew 22%
The model gave 78% on Hokori — the game was taken by Cringe Crew in 39:42.
Game 2prediction missed40:38
Hokori 78%Cringe Crew 22%
The model gave 78% on Hokori — the game was taken by Cringe Crew in 41:59.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 78%
Series resultHokori 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2