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BTS Pro Series Season 13: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Hokoriloss 1:1
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Infinity Esportsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Hokori

No games played over 6 months.

Infinity Esports

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Nuages · 10 games
60%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Jupiter · 10 games
70%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Nuages · 10 games
90%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Mr.Jeans · 7 games
57%
Lion
Lion
Jupiter · 6 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
mini-` · 6 games
83%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mr.Jeans · 6 games
83%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mr.Jeans · 5 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
Marci
370 picks · 583 bans
55%
Undying
Undying
323 picks · 568 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
310 picks · 203 bans
50%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
239 picks · 468 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
237 picks · 331 bans
55%
Enigma
Enigma
223 picks · 722 bans
58%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
206 picks · 302 bans
45%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
206 picks · 246 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% Infinity Esports
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total52% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:39
Hokori 52%Infinity Esports 48%
The model gave 52% on Hokori — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 33:09.
Game 2prediction missed11:30
Hokori 52%Infinity Esports 48%
The model gave 52% on Hokori — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 32:30.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 52%
Accuracy by game0 of 2