BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Fnaticwin 2:0series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Execrationloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
Execration
Mirana
Shanks · 13 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Bob · 12 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Tino- · 11 games
Earthshakersignature
Shanks · 11 games
Pudgesignature
Palos · 10 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Bob · 10 games
Batrideroften banned
Bob · 9 games
Marcioften banned
Tino- · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
368 picks · 581 bans
Undying
326 picks · 568 bans
Tiny
317 picks · 206 bans
Primal Beast
238 picks · 466 bans
Pangolier
237 picks · 333 bans
Enigma
226 picks · 731 bans
Shadow Fiend
208 picks · 245 bans
Death Prophet
207 picks · 302 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 41%
Hero pool strength52% Execration
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total75% Fnatic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed40:19
Fnatic 75%Execration 25%
The model gave 75% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Execration in 35:10.
Game 2prediction missed44:23
Fnatic 75%Execration 25%
The model gave 75% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Execration in 31:55.
Model check result
Model favoriteFnatic · 75%
Series resultFnatic 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2