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BTS Pro Series Season 13: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Thunder Awakenloss 1:1
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 1:1
5RATFORCESTAFFloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Thunder Awaken

Snapfire
Snapfire
Matthew · 22 games
59%
Tiny
Tinysignature
DarkMago · 19 games
79%
Mars
Marssignature
DarkMago · 18 games
61%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Panda · 17 games
53%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakersignature
Sacred · 14 games
71%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Pakazs · 13 games
46%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Panda · 12 games
58%
Dazzle
Dazzle
Panda · 11 games
45%

5RATFORCESTAFF

Jakiro
Jakiro
albinozebra · 24 games
54%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
dnm · 12 games
67%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Speeed · 11 games
36%
Tiny
Tiny
Giant · 9 games
11%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
albinozebra · 7 games
43%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
albinozebra · 7 games
43%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
dnm · 6 games
33%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirensignature
dnm · 6 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
Marci
368 picks · 579 bans
55%
Undying
Undying
326 picks · 570 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
317 picks · 209 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
238 picks · 331 bans
54%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
238 picks · 464 bans
53%
Enigma
Enigma
226 picks · 731 bans
58%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
208 picks · 245 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
207 picks · 303 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 48%
Hero pool strength53% Thunder Awaken
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% 5RATFORCESTAFF
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Thunder Awaken 44%5RATFORCESTAFF 56%
The model gave 56% on 5RATFORCESTAFF — the game was taken by 5RATFORCESTAFF.
Game 2prediction missed
Thunder Awaken 44%5RATFORCESTAFF 56%
The model gave 56% on 5RATFORCESTAFF — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken.
Model check result
Model favorite5RATFORCESTAFF · 56%
Accuracy by game1 of 2