BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO2
result vs predictionSSPAWNloss 0:2
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PPPurple Paradoxwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
SPAWN
No games played over 6 months.
Purple Paradox
Dawnbreakeroften banned
seimei · 2 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
seimei · 1 game
Slardaroften banned
seimei · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
370 picks · 573 bans
Undying
334 picks · 572 bans
Tiny
327 picks · 222 bans
Pangolier
243 picks · 332 bans
Primal Beast
240 picks · 464 bans
Enigma
234 picks · 743 bans
Shadow Fiend
209 picks · 243 bans
Death Prophet
208 picks · 308 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Purple Paradox
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% SPAWN
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:16
SPAWN 57%Purple Paradox 43%
The model gave 57% on SPAWN — the game was taken by Purple Paradox in 32:26.
Game 2prediction missed40:51
SPAWN 57%Purple Paradox 43%
The model gave 57% on SPAWN — the game was taken by Purple Paradox in 44:11.
Model check result
Model favoriteSPAWN · 57%
Series resultPurple Paradox 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2