BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO2
result vs predictionSSPAWNwin 2:0
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Unity Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
SPAWN
No games played over 6 months.
Unity Gaming
Pangolieroften banned
Night · 2 games
Tusk
CatYou · 2 games
Legion Commanderoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 1 game
Lich
Lwwnb · 1 game
Lion
CatYou · 1 game
Morphlingoften banned
mks- · 1 game
Shadow Demonoften banned
Lwwnb · 1 game
Ursaoften banned
mks- · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
375 picks · 583 bans
Tiny
338 picks · 240 bans
Undying
331 picks · 570 bans
Pangolier
245 picks · 332 bans
Enigma
243 picks · 761 bans
Primal Beast
237 picks · 451 bans
Tusk
215 picks · 101 bans
Death Prophet
214 picks · 324 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength58% Unity Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Unity Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct41:17
SPAWN 47%Unity Gaming 53%
The model gave 53% on Unity Gaming — the game was taken by Unity Gaming in 31:05.
Game 2prediction correct21:53
SPAWN 47%Unity Gaming 53%
The model gave 53% on Unity Gaming — the game was taken by Unity Gaming in 27:16.
Model check result
Model favoriteUnity Gaming · 53%
Series resultSPAWN 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2