?
arrow_backBack to match
BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Neon Atomicloss 1:1
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Army Geniusesloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Neon Atomic

No games played over 6 months.

Army Geniuses

Tiny
Tiny
inYourdreaM · 17 games
47%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
woMy · 14 games
43%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Varizh · 10 games
60%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
NARMAN · 9 games
56%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
db- · 9 games
44%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
woMy · 8 games
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Varizh · 8 games
38%
Mars
Marssignature
woMy · 8 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
Marci
382 picks · 581 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
340 picks · 245 bans
51%
Undying
Undying
330 picks · 566 bans
54%
Enigma
Enigma
250 picks · 763 bans
57%
Pangolier
Pangolier
243 picks · 331 bans
54%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
236 picks · 445 bans
54%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
216 picks · 329 bans
45%
Tusk
Tusk
210 picks · 98 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 38%
Hero pool strength51% Neon Atomic
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Neon Atomic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:25
Neon Atomic 54%Army Geniuses 46%
The model gave 54% on Neon Atomic — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 33:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tusk
TuskJG
49% · 231 game53% · 71 game
MorphlinginYourdreaM
Morphling
Enchantress
EnchantressHated
48% · 280 games51% · 90 games
Beastmasterdb-
Beastmaster
52% · 197 games
TinyYowe
Tiny
57% · 110 games
MiranaVarizh
Mirana
45% · 43 games
RubickJhocam
Rubick
Game 2prediction correct29:28
Neon Atomic 50%Army Geniuses 50%
The model gave 50% on Neon Atomic — the game was taken by Neon Atomic in 42:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Mars
MarsJG
47% · 352 games48% · 67 games
LifestealerinYourdreaM
Lifestealer
Silencer
SilencerHated
48% · 65 games61% · 65 games
Doomdb-
Doom
51% · 154 games
PangolierYowe
Pangolier
53% · 65 games
TuskJhocam
Tusk
53% · 66 games
DisruptorVarizh
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Atomic · 56%
Accuracy by game1 of 2