Лига Ставок Dota 2 Champions League Season 16 · BO3
result vs prediction
Zorka Gamingloss 0:2series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:2
IVYwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Zorka Gaming
Tiny
OneJey · 12 games
Linasignature
Miyaoo · 8 games
Batrideroften banned
Miyaoo · 7 games
Crystal Maiden
Arti_Shock · 7 games
Primal Beastsignature
klassnokruto · 7 games
Undyingsignature
klassnokruto · 6 games
Pudgeoften banned
dizzying · 5 games
Sven
dizzying · 5 games
IVY
Tiny
Mo13ei · 31 game
Timbersawsignature
Max · 17 games
Chenoften banned
jmn- · 15 games
Mirana
Qupe · 15 games
Clockwerk
Qupe · 14 games
Viperoften banned
Max · 14 games
Snapfiresignature
Qupe · 13 games
Faceless Voidsignature
Lowskill · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
393 picks · 601 bans
Tiny
358 picks · 263 bans
Undying
325 picks · 551 bans
Enigma
247 picks · 771 bans
Pangolier
234 picks · 342 bans
Death Prophet
228 picks · 343 bans
Primal Beast
225 picks · 428 bans
Shadow Fiend
205 picks · 237 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 28%
Hero pool strength52% Zorka Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total61% Zorka Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:21
Zorka Gaming 61%IVY 39%
The model gave 61% on Zorka Gaming — the game was taken by IVY in 44:28.
Game 2prediction missed35:30
Zorka Gaming 61%IVY 39%
The model gave 61% on Zorka Gaming — the game was taken by IVY in 42:26.
Model check result
Model favoriteZorka Gaming · 61%
Series resultIVY 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2