Лига Ставок Dota 2 Champions League Season 16 · BO3
result vs predictionNVNo Visionwin 1:0
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 1:0
WKWitch Kingsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
No Vision
Pangolieroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 4 games
Tiny
Chira JUNIOR · 4 games
Mirana
jAMES · 3 games
Clockwerk
jAMES · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 1 game
Hoodwink
jAMES · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 1 game
Linaoften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 1 game
Witch Kings
Drow Rangeroften banned
Coblackk · 3 games
Nyx Assassin
Jeezy · 3 games
Enigmaoften banned
Mr. Luck · 2 games
Pangolieroften banned
G.T.I · 2 games
Visageoften banned
Mr. Luck · 2 games
Broodmotheroften banned
Mr. Luck · 1 game
Dark Willow
Jeezy · 1 game
Invokeroften banned
G.T.I · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
393 picks · 601 bans
Tiny
358 picks · 263 bans
Undying
325 picks · 551 bans
Enigma
247 picks · 771 bans
Pangolier
234 picks · 342 bans
Death Prophet
228 picks · 343 bans
Primal Beast
225 picks · 428 bans
Shadow Fiend
205 picks · 237 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 25%
Hero pool strength58% No Vision
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% No Vision
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
No Vision 63%Witch Kings 37%
The model gave 63% on No Vision — the game was taken by No Vision.
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Vision · 63%
Series resultNo Vision 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1