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Лига Ставок Dota 2 Champions League Season 16 · BO3
result vs prediction
YNTwin 2:1
series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 2:1
No Sorryloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

YNT

No games played over 6 months.

No Sorry

Bane
Banesignature
BLACKARXANGEL · 35 games
69%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
y0nd · 25 games
56%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Worick · 24 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Worick · 21 game
57%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 19 games
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
LastHero- · 18 games
61%
Medusa
Medusasignature
Kami · 18 games
67%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
y0nd · 17 games
65%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
Marci
391 picks · 602 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
361 picks · 268 bans
52%
Undying
Undying
324 picks · 549 bans
55%
Enigma
Enigma
248 picks · 771 bans
57%
Pangolier
Pangolier
236 picks · 338 bans
54%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
228 picks · 353 bans
47%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
222 picks · 421 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
205 picks · 729 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 58%
Hero pool strength55% No Sorry
Head-to-head1 – 7
Model total67% No Sorry
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct45:55
YNT 33%No Sorry 67%
The model gave 67% on No Sorry — the game was taken by No Sorry in 50:59.
Game 2prediction missed
YNT 33%No Sorry 67%
The model gave 67% on No Sorry — the game was taken by YNT.
Game 3prediction correct44:50
YNT 33%No Sorry 67%
The model gave 67% on No Sorry — the game was taken by No Sorry in 51:30.
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Sorry · 67%
Series resultYNT 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 3