Лига Ставок Dota 2 Champions League Season 16 · BO3
result vs prediction
YNTloss 1:2series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 1:2
NVNo Visionwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
YNT
No games played over 6 months.
No Vision
Pangolieroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 3 games
Tiny
Chira JUNIOR · 3 games
Hoodwink
jAMES · 1 game
Linaoften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 1 game
Mirana
jAMES · 1 game
Rubick
jAMES · 1 game
Skywrath Mage
jAMES · 1 game
Snapfire
jAMES · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
393 picks · 601 bans
Tiny
364 picks · 266 bans
Undying
324 picks · 549 bans
Enigma
248 picks · 772 bans
Pangolier
236 picks · 337 bans
Death Prophet
229 picks · 353 bans
Primal Beast
222 picks · 420 bans
Batrider
205 picks · 731 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 43%
Hero pool strength53% YNT
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% YNT
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed16:40
YNT 67%No Vision 33%
The model gave 67% on YNT — the game was taken by No Vision in 33:38.
Game 2prediction missed19:42
YNT 67%No Vision 33%
The model gave 67% on YNT — the game was taken by No Vision in 38:15.
Game 3prediction missed39:23
YNT 67%No Vision 33%
The model gave 67% on YNT — the game was taken by No Vision in 52:34.
Model check result
Model favoriteYNT · 67%
Series resultNo Vision 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3