Last-Last Chance · BO3
result vs prediction
HellRaiserswin 2:0series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
cybercatsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HellRaisers
No games played over 6 months.
cybercats
Hoodwink
Fezor · 38 games
Clockwerksignature
Hduo · 21 game
Visagesignature
DkFogas · 20 games
Marcioften banned
Hduo · 19 games
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 19 games
Dazzlesignature
Hduo · 16 games
Doomsignature
Fezor · 16 games
Sand Kingsignature
DkFogas · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
473 picks · 345 bans
Marci
450 picks · 662 bans
Undying
314 picks · 529 bans
Death Prophet
278 picks · 441 bans
Enigma
263 picks · 824 bans
Pangolier
259 picks · 359 bans
Puck
259 picks · 594 bans
Snapfire
246 picks · 125 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 57%
Hero pool strength55% cybercats
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total63% HellRaisers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed40:26
HellRaisers 63%cybercats 37%
The model gave 63% on HellRaisers — the game was taken by cybercats in 43:38.
Game 2prediction missed33:10
HellRaisers 63%cybercats 37%
The model gave 63% on HellRaisers — the game was taken by cybercats in 37:43.
Model check result
Model favoriteHellRaisers · 63%
Series resultHellRaisers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2