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Last-Last Chance · BO3
result vs prediction
Wayfarerswin 2:1
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Into The Breachloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Wayfarers

Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Petushara · 9 games
78%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
HappyDyurara · 8 games
63%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
DarkLord^ · 8 games
50%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
xsvampire · 7 games
86%
Lina
Linasignature
Squad1x · 6 games
100%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Squad1x · 5 games
80%
Marci
Marcioften banned
xsvampire · 5 games
80%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Squad1x · 5 games
0%

Into The Breach

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Kidaro · 20 games
60%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Xibbe · 20 games
80%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Ari · 18 games
72%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Supream^ · 11 games
55%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Ari · 10 games
50%
Pudge
Pudgesignature
Otaker · 10 games
80%
Dazzle
Dazzle
Kidaro · 9 games
56%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Kidaro · 9 games
44%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
475 picks · 345 bans
51%
Marci
Marci
452 picks · 662 bans
54%
Undying
Undying
314 picks · 529 bans
54%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
278 picks · 441 bans
47%
Enigma
Enigma
263 picks · 826 bans
58%
Pangolier
Pangolier
259 picks · 359 bans
54%
Puck
Puck
259 picks · 596 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
247 picks · 125 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)73% vs 58%
Hero pool strength51% Wayfarers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Into The Breach
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Wayfarers 38%Into The Breach 62%
The model gave 62% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Wayfarers.
Game 2prediction correct
Wayfarers 38%Into The Breach 62%
The model gave 62% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach.
Game 3prediction missed
Wayfarers 38%Into The Breach 62%
The model gave 62% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Wayfarers.
Model check result
Model favoriteInto The Breach · 62%
Series resultWayfarers 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3