Last-Last Chance · BO3
result vs prediction
cybercatswin 2:1series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Monaspaloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
cybercats
Hoodwink
Fezor · 38 games
Clockwerksignature
Hduo · 21 game
Visagesignature
DkFogas · 20 games
Marcioften banned
Hduo · 19 games
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 19 games
Dazzlesignature
Hduo · 16 games
Doomsignature
Fezor · 16 games
Sand Kingsignature
DkFogas · 14 games
Monaspa
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
512 picks · 377 bans
Marci
476 picks · 686 bans
Undying
317 picks · 530 bans
Death Prophet
294 picks · 464 bans
Puck
276 picks · 644 bans
Enigma
272 picks · 860 bans
Pangolier
268 picks · 374 bans
Dawnbreaker
261 picks · 376 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 73%
Hero pool strength55% cybercats
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Monaspa
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
cybercats 46%Monaspa 54%
The model gave 54% on Monaspa — the game was taken by Monaspa.
Game 2prediction missed
cybercats 46%Monaspa 54%
The model gave 54% on Monaspa — the game was taken by cybercats.
Game 3prediction missed
cybercats 46%Monaspa 54%
The model gave 54% on Monaspa — the game was taken by cybercats.
Model check result
Model favoriteMonaspa · 54%
Series resultcybercats 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3