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The International 2022 · BO2
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingloss 1:1
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

LGD Gaming

Tiny
Tinysignature
XinQ · 19 games
79%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Faith_bian · 15 games
73%
Razor
Razorsignature
Faith_bian · 15 games
80%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
NothingToSay · 14 games
86%
Dazzle
Dazzlesignature
y` · 11 games
91%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
Ame · 11 games
64%
Marci
Marcisignature
XinQ · 11 games
82%
Puck
Pucksignature
NothingToSay · 11 games
73%

BETBOOM TEAM

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Bignum · 9 games
33%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
CeMaTheSlayeR · 8 games
38%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Ainkrad · 7 games
14%
Disruptor
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
43%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Ainkrad · 7 games
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
57%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Dinozavrik · 6 games
33%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Cloud · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
531 picks · 399 bans
52%
Marci
Marci
470 picks · 718 bans
54%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
305 picks · 476 bans
49%
Undying
Undying
302 picks · 510 bans
54%
Puck
Puck
294 picks · 696 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
281 picks · 396 bans
47%
Enigma
Enigma
267 picks · 852 bans
58%
Pangolier
Pangolier
261 picks · 361 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 59%
Hero pool strength68% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:39
LGD Gaming 61%BETBOOM TEAM 39%
The model gave 61% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 43:50.
Game 2prediction missed28:57
LGD Gaming 61%BETBOOM TEAM 39%
The model gave 61% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 58:12.
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 61%
Accuracy by game1 of 2