?
arrow_backBack to match
The International 2022 · BO2
result vs prediction
Evil Geniuseswin 2:0
series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Evil Geniuses

Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Oscar · 11 games
55%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Wij · 10 games
50%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Wij · 9 games
56%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Oscar · 9 games
67%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
Berna · 8 games
63%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Prada · 8 games
25%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Oscar · 8 games
38%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Berna · 8 games
50%

Gaimin Gladiators

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 29 games
59%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Ace · 20 games
65%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
tOfu · 20 games
40%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Seleri · 18 games
50%
Tiny
Tiny
BOOM · 17 games
59%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
BOOM · 16 games
88%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
dyrachyo · 15 games
67%
Bane
Banesignature
tOfu · 13 games
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
518 picks · 399 bans
53%
Marci
Marci
460 picks · 707 bans
54%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
306 picks · 470 bans
48%
Undying
Undying
292 picks · 494 bans
55%
Puck
Puck
289 picks · 701 bans
57%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
280 picks · 395 bans
47%
Enigma
Enigma
259 picks · 836 bans
59%
Snapfire
Snapfire
256 picks · 134 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 39%
Hero pool strength55% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Evil Geniuses
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:31
Evil Geniuses 66%Gaimin Gladiators 34%
The model gave 66% on Evil Geniuses — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 36:09.
Game 2prediction missed8:29
Evil Geniuses 66%Gaimin Gladiators 34%
The model gave 66% on Evil Geniuses — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 34:12.
Model check result
Model favoriteEvil Geniuses · 66%
Series resultEvil Geniuses 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2